Red Hat White Lettering Make America Decent Again
CIA Manager Burns subsequently went to Moscow to try and intimidate Putin into revoking troop buildup on Ukrainian border
[Russell Bentley, a Texan and author of this commodity, served in the Donbass army. His motivation was to fight fascism; he envisioned himself as an heir to members of the Abraham Lincoln Brigade who volunteered to fight fascism in Spain during the Spanish Civil State of war.
In part one, Bentley'south provides an assessment of the electric current tensions in the Ukraine and the graphic symbol of the regime. Ranked as one of the most corrupt governments in the world, information technology is a monstrous creation of the U.Southward. empire guilty of large-scale war crimes.
In part two, Bentley discusses three potential military machine options for Russian federation. CAM's position on this conflict is to endorse the Minsk protocol, which focuses on a diplomatic settlement that offers the Eastern Ukrainian provinces considerable autonomy and could aid defuse tensions in the region.
The tertiary military choice discussed by Bentley—the Kyiv plan which would entail a Russian march on Kyiv—has three main dangers: a) Ukrainian rightists and nationalists would mobilize against the Russians and pro-Russian forces, prompting a prolonged and devastating war that could exist a quagmire for Russian federation (rather than a cakewalk, as Bentley suggests); b) a Russian invasion would potentially ignite World State of war Iii past drawing in the U.South. and NATO; and c) it could even lead to the advent of nuclear war.
Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to be conscious of these dangers and intent on restraining hawkish elements within the Russian military—a expert thing. At the same time, he has made it clear that Russia will defend its interests and not be pushed around.—Editors]
Part 1
On October 18th, U.Due south. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin III met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to affirm U.South. support for Ukraine'south war against its eastern provinces.
Since the starting time of the conflict in 2014, the United states of america has provided more than $2.five billion in security assistance to Ukraine, including $275 1000000 in military help that has been appear in the last ten months under President Joe Biden, a staunch champion of the war from its inception.
In early November, President Biden dispatched CIA Director William F. Burns to Moscow to warn the Kremlin about its troop buildup on the Ukraine border and to endeavor and strength it to dorsum off. Secretary of Land Antony Blinken followed up this past week by threatening Russia further in a joint press conference in Washington with the Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba.
Ukraine, however, started the state of war following the February 2014 U.S. backed coup and carried out sustained war crimes.
These crimes include: a) the recent kidnapping and torture of a Russian ceasefire monitor in Lugansk; b) a contempo attack on Staromaryevka, a settlement of 180 civilians in the de-militarized "Greyness Zone," which included the kidnapping of viii more unarmed civilians (who were too Russian citizens) by neo-Nazi terrorists; and c) the use of a Turkish Bayraktar attack drone against Donbass defense force forces.
All this is in improver to the repeated shelling of noncombatant areas and infrastructure along with a hardening of war rhetoric past the Kyiv regime—with U.S. backing.
Readying for War
The main hope for a diplomatic solution to the conflict in Ukraine lies with the Minsk peace accords—which includes a provision that would allow for considerable autonomy for the eastern provinces. Predictably, the U.S. and Ukraine accept shown little interest in adhering to the Minsk accords.
A no-fly zone is currently being enforced by Russia in the airspace over the Donbass Republic. Russian federation cannot recognize the Donetsk Republic because it would invite further U.S. sanctions and efforts at political isolation; the Donetsk Republic is considered to be a renegade and the U.S. wants Russia to stay out of the war.
All armed forces units of the DPR are currently on total combat warning. News reports and videos have appeared with Russian armor, including "hundreds" of heavy combat vehicles, and 80,000 to xc,000 troops, moving toward the Ukrainian border from the Bryansk, Voronezh and Rostov armed services districts. They are stationed at Novy Yerkovich—a four-hr (250 km) drive to Kyiv—and along the edge most Kharkov, which lies a scant xxx kilometers from Russian federation'southward edge.
The troop buildup indicates that Russia is prepared to defend the Donbass region, which consists of almost a million Russian citizens, and to potentially go further and liberate the function of Ukraine populated primarily by ethnic and Russian-speaking Russians.
The U.S./European union/NATO and Ukraine accept all been pretending since 2014 that "Russia invaded Ukraine"—which it never did, though Ukrainian provocations get in more than probable that it soon will.
The state of war in Ukraine is not a Ukrainian civil war, nor is it a war between Russians and Ukrainians.
Information technology is a war by resurgent international neo-Nazism, led by the USA against a people fighting for their autonomy backed past a reinvigorated Corking Power, Russia, which wants to expand its regional influence and annul a legitimate security threat on its border.
World Flash Point
The fight in Donbass is i of the major world's flash points aslope Syria and Taiwan—where U.S. provocations threaten a major state of war with Red china.
If the West forces a military confrontation with Russia in Ukraine, information technology can exist sure it will face up ane with China over Taiwan simultaneously, neither of which it has whatsoever chance of winning. The Russians and Chinese have forged a partnership against Western, primarily U.S. aggression in the political, economic, and military machine spheres.
In Syria, the Turks (a NATO member) have in recent days directly threatened Russian military installations and troops; Should they actually deport out attacks on Russians in Syria, Russia has made clear information technology volition fire back. Turkish troops are now also on the footing in Ukraine, involved in combat operations confronting Donbass Defence force Forces. This besides, is a major and recent escalation.
Russia Prepares Its Saddle
Just it is in Donbass that the situation is the most incendiary. In response to recent Ukrainian provocations and acts of terrorism, Russia is once more sending a military machine task forcefulness to its border with Ukraine, every bit it did in the spring of this year, which stopped the planned U.S./Ukrainian offensive in its tracks.
After the offensive was scrubbed and the situation de-escalated, the Russian troops withdrew from the edge, just now again take returned. This time, indications are that the Russian formations are preparing to, at minimum, come into Donbass as peacekeepers, and perhaps go as far as Kharkov and Odessa as Liberators. Perhaps even to Kyiv.
As the recent words of Putin, Lavrov, Medvedev and others accept made clear, the Russians have now decided that the fourth dimension for talking is over. There is an quondam saying about Russians that applies perfectly well to the current situation—"The Russians are slow to saddle their horses, but when they do, they ride very, very fast."
Those horses have at present been saddled.
Responsibleness to Protect (R2P)
If the Russians were to deepen their involvement in the Ukraine, they would not be doing anything the U.S. and NATO accept not done themselves on more than than one occasion.
Russia non only has therightto protect its citizens, it has the responsibility to practise and then, under international law.
The "R2P" or "Responsibility to Protect" concept is based on three "pillars" –
Pillar I—Each individual state has the responsibility to protect its population from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing, and crimes confronting humanity.
Colonnade Two—"States pledge to assist each other in their protection responsibilities."
Pillar III—If any land is "manifestly declining" in its protection responsibilities, and so states should take collective action to protect the population" in a "timely and decisive response."
The Un Security Council has recognized and reaffirmed its delivery to the R2P in more than lxxx resolutions. R2P as such has the forcefulness of international law.
The flip side of R2P is that information technology has been used every bit an alibi by the almost powerful countries for international war crimes and has resulted in the trampling of state sovereignty.
One of the requirements of R2P is a Un Security Quango resolution approving its implementation. Though this will never happen in the case of Ukraine, there can exist no doubt that Ukraine is, in fact, guilty of all the crimes that R2P was created to prevent, including a) war crimes, b) indigenous cleansing, and c) crimes against humanity, all of which have been, and go along to be, committed by the Kyiv authorities and its military on a daily footing.
Russian intervention as such could be justified nether the R2P doctrine–though it is unlikely whatever NATO countries would admit this.
Who Will End the Crimes Confronting Humanity?
The listing of Kyiv'due south state of war crimes nether international police force include: a) denial of water to well-nigh two.v 1000000 civilians in Crimea, b) the intentional targeting of civilians, journalists and medical personnel past artillery and snipers, c) random terror attacks on civilian areas, d) kidnapping, e) rape, f) torture and g) murder.
The Russians have over 2,000 specific state of war crimes cases open confronting the Kyiv authorities and its proxies, and more are being opened daily. Even the USA has opened war crimes investigations into at to the lowest degree seven U.Due south. citizens who fought on the Kyiv side in the war.
These investigations into kidnapping, torture, rape, and murder are based on bystander, and video and forensic evidence. It will exist the offset time the U.S. has prosecuted anyone under the War Crimes Act since its passage into law in 1996, a quarter century ago.
The Ukrainian military has as of this writing massacred at least 10,000 ethnic Russian civilians. Some were killed in house-to-house searches of civilian homes by paramilitary units wearing Nazi insignia on their uniforms. The Gestapo-similar forces were searching for DPR and Russian passports and kidnapped those who had them.
The Russians cannot just stand by and allow this to happen. And neither should Americans.
Western intellectuals have been quick to invoke R2P to support the bombing of Libya and Syrian arab republic and a host of other Middle Due east countries as a comprehend for U.S. assailment. Just how many will invoke the aforementioned doctrine when it tin be applied to actually salve people from large-calibration ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity—if Russian federation is the i doing the saving? Likely none.
Part two: Three Options for Russia
The way I see it, Russia currently has three main options:
1) The Donbass Plan—The Russian Ground forces can roll into Donbass every bit peacekeepers, forth the electric current contact line from North of Lugansk to Mariupol, subsequently publicly announcing information technology to the world a few hours ahead of time, in order to warn the Ukrainian armed services against resistance, and to explain and justify its humanitarian intervention to the "international customs." They would announce that they come in peace to cease the war crimes and the war, simply that whatsoever military resistance from any source volition be instantly eliminated, with the warning, "If you lot shoot at us, you dice."
This ultimatum would exist non-negotiable and backed up by Russia'south full military ability, including air and missile forces, and applied not only to Ukrainian military units, merely to U.S. and NATO troops in Ukraine and U.S. and NATO ships in the Black Body of water, likewise equally anywhere else. Information technology tin can and should likewise include a reminder of Putin's previous quote that"Russia will respond to whatsoever set on by the destruction not but of the source of the attack, simply besides the source of the orders for the attack."
This choice would stop all terrorist attacks against Donbass, permanently and completely, and would hopefully give time for a diplomatic solution based on new political realities to exist establish. Information technology would as well not entail the taking of any territory under Ukraine control, but that which has long been alleged under "Russian occupation".
In one case it is seen that the Russians reallyare coming, and they reallypractise mean business concern, information technology is unlikely that the Americans, NATO, or the Ukrainians will fire a shot. This is the least confrontational and least risky arroyo, as it could be accomplished in a matter of 24 hours, with minimal bloodshed.
This may seem to be a pragmatic solution, but it has the least chance of finding a political compromise or permanent solution, in either the short or long terms. And while it would stop war crimes and protect Russian citizens, it would fail to resolve the overriding geopolitical problems Russia faces in Ukraine—belligerent war criminals on Russia's borders, the critical Crimean water security issue, foreign enemies in command of a neighboring state, etc. One advantage to this plan, withal, is that could be used equally a start stage of the Novorussia Plan.
two) The second option is The Novorussia Plan. Under this plan, the Russians can liberate the area known every bit Novorussia, most i third of current Ukraine, with majority ethnic Russian populations, running along a line from Kharkov to Odessa (inclusive). This not just protects the vast bulk of ethnic Russians (not just those in Donbass) from Ukrainian depredations, it solves the disquisitional humanitarian water crunch in Crimea, and cuts Ukraine completely off from the Black Sea. This will as well eviscerate all that is left of the Ukrainian economic system and begin the process of the dismantling of Ukraine along indigenous lines while eliminating information technology as a state and equally a threat to Russian federation once and for all.
It will also serve as an example to the earth of the new political reality that Russia reserves the right to defend itself, unilaterally, if demand be, and that the nation with the most powerful military in the world also has the political volition to use it, if it has no other choice and if information technology is forced to defend itself. This scenario has the best hope of long-term stability for the region, and even the possibility of a futurity re-integration of some parts of primal Ukraine with Novorussia.
Unfortunately, the vast majority of war criminals would probably escape to the West, at least for a while.
3) The third plan, the Kyiv Plan, would exist to go to Kyiv, which may or may not involve engaging in a major war. In the best case scenario for Russia, the U.Due south. and NATO would desert Ukraine in the face up of a real fight and get out them on their own. Even if Ukraine did not capitulate in the commencement few hours, any actual disharmonize could be finished in a few days, and the process of de-Nazification and war offense trials could begin. In an alternative scenario, the U.Southward. and NATO would launch air strikes and the state of war could devolve into a quagmire for Russia, with the risk of nuclear war intensifying.
My belief is that the outcome of the open combat stage of the war would be along the lines of the First Iraq War, (with 80% – 90% of Ukrainian soldiers surrendering without firing a shot) but the subsequent "occupation" would really be a real liberation. With the removal of neo-Nazis and corrupt oligarchs from positions of power, and the improvement of life quality and life chances for a vast majority of the population, most Ukrainians (with the exception of the rabid fascists in Galicia or Poland) will see the Russian Army as their grandparents saw the Red Regular army, as heroes and liberators from foreign occupation—which is exactly what they would be.
This may be the least viable and to the lowest degree attractive of the iii scenarios, only information technology is an pick, and information technology would have the required effect of stopping the war crimes confronting Russian citizens and eliminating Ukraine every bit an existential threat right on Russian federation'south doorstep. Information technology would too have the benefit of the capture a large percent of war criminals (Ukrainian and otherwise) besides equally documents and bear witness that might be of great interest to history, Russia and the world—an option worthy of serious consideration.
Of all 3 of these plans, the 2nd, the Novorussia Plan has the nearly benefit at the least toll. Only going to the contact line in Donbass is not sufficient to resolve the festering Ukrainian problem, and going all the mode to Kyiv may well price more than information technology is worth. The Novorussia Program resolves all critical problems at an acceptable cost, and tin can be implemented, if demand be, as a second phase of the Donbass Plan.
With the Voronezh troops coming in through (or around) Kharkov, Airborne and amphibious troops landing in (or around) Odessa, the Rostov Ground forces coming up through Donbass, and the Crimean Army and Black Bounding main Fleet working along the coast, along with the Bryansk Ground forces waiting in reserve and set up to have Kyiv if required, the 700 Km Front, running from Kharkov to Odessa could be formed and held in a affair of days.
Once Russian fuel and human being aid get-go to flow to liberated Novorussia, grateful citizens will not only not oppose Russian "occupation," they volition back up information technology as 18-carat liberation, and even be ready to defend it themselves from the cold and hungry Ukrainians who volition be begging to exist allowed to immigrate to Novorussia.
Incorrigible Nazis and war criminals volition be rounded upwards, tried, and sentenced to work battalions in Donbass, to repair every single thing destroyed or damaged in the state of war, including the monument at Saur Mogila and all monuments to the Scarlet Ground forces Liberators in the newly liberated lands of Novorussia. The majority of Russian soldiers will quickly be free to render to Russian federation, and get out the administration and protection of the newly liberated lands to their inhabitants.
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Russians visiting Saur Mogila memorial to red Army soldiers who liberated Donetsk from the Nazis in World War I. [Source: inthefray.org] -
Separatist flags fly over ruins. [Source: inthefray.org]
Vladimir Putin has more than once recounted a lesson that he learned as a youth on the tough streets of Saint petersburg."If the fight is inevitable, it is best to strike first."
If state of war indeed breaks out, the chief responsibility would rest with the U.S. which triggered the current mess through its sponsorship of the Feb 2014 insurrection in Ukraine and gave a green-calorie-free for Ukraine to attack its Eastern provinces.
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Most the Author
Russell Bentley is a old Texan who holds passports from Russia, the USA and the Donetsk People'southward Republic.
Russell came to Donbass in 2014 and served in the VOSTOK Battalion and XAH Spetsnaz Battalion through 2015.
He so transitioned into the Information War, as a writer and video reporter, countering Western propaganda about the state of affairs in Ukraine and Donbass.
He currently works as an accredited war correspondent in the DPR, is married and lives in a small-scale house with a big garden, 5 Km from the frontline in the ongoing Donbass War.
Russell can be reached at: russellbbentley@gmail.com.
Source: https://covertactionmagazine.com/2021/11/12/is-biden-looking-to-reignite-a-dirty-war-in-ukraine-recent-visit-by-u-s-defense-secretary-lloyd-austin-raises-concerns/
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